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CHAMPIONS LEAGUE: BAYERN MUNICH VS LEVERKUSEN

UPDATED: 3/5, 09:00 AMPUBLISHED: 3/5, 09:00 AM
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BAYERN MUNICH VS LEVERKUSEN

ODDS

8.0

TIPS

BAYERN MUNICH 1-0

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A colossal showdown awaits as Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen collide on the European stage for the very first time. The stakes couldn't be higher—two German giants, both hungry for continental glory, going head-to-head in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 clash this Wednesday.

This historic battle marks a turning point in German football, as Bayern and Leverkusen have never crossed paths in European competition before. Bayern, a club synonymous with success, holds fond memories of facing domestic rivals on the grandest stage, having conquered Borussia Dortmund in the 2012-13 Champions League final. Leverkusen, however, will be eager to erase their painful history, with their last European showdown against a German opponent ending in a disappointing UEFA Cup defeat to Hamburg in 2007-08.

Despite Bayern's reputation as overwhelming favorites, there is an undeniable shift in momentum. Under the masterful leadership of Xabi Alonso, Leverkusen have been a force to be reckoned with, refusing to bow down to the Bavarian giants. In fact, they remain unbeaten in their last six encounters against Bayern—a streak that adds even more intrigue to this high-stakes duel.

Can Bayern assert their dominance on home soil, or will Leverkusen continue to defy expectations and take a crucial step toward the quarterfinals?

BAYERN MUNICH

Vincent Kompany’s Bayern Munich are marching toward yet another Bundesliga crown, sitting comfortably eight points ahead of second-placed Bayer Leverkusen after a commanding 3-1 victory over Stuttgart on Friday. But while domestic dominance seems inevitable, their European ambitions face a daunting roadblock—the very team that dethroned them last season.

Bayer Leverkusen is the last opponent Bayern would have hoped to draw in the Champions League last 16. Under Xabi Alonso’s tactical brilliance, Leverkusen has transformed into Bayern’s kryptonite, consistently disrupting the Bavarian powerhouse. They arrive at the Allianz Arena brimming with confidence, knowing they’ve gone unbeaten in their last six meetings with the German giants—including a win and two draws this season alone.

If their last encounter—a tense 0-0 battle at the BayArena in February—is any indication, this tie will be a war of attrition. Bayern will need every ounce of firepower at their disposal, and the fitness of key players is under the spotlight. Joshua Kimmich is pushing to return after resuming light training, while Eric Dier and Aleksandar Pavlovic missed Sunday’s session due to illness. Jamal Musiala, Joao Palhinha, and the last-gasp hero against Celtic, Alphonso Davies, also sat out with minor knocks, but all are expected to be fit for the showdown.

One thing is certain—Harry Kane is ready. The English striker has been a force in the Champions League, contributing to more goals (15 goals, five assists) than any other player since last season. If Bayern is to break their Leverkusen curse and take control of this tie, they’ll need Kane at his ruthless best.

BAYERN MUNICH predicted lineup vs LEVERKUSEN: Neuer (GK); Laimer, Kim, Upamecano, Davies; Palhinha, Goretzka; Olise, Musiala, Coman; Kane.

LEVERKUSEN

Bayer Leverkusen didn’t just stroll into the last 16—they stormed in, clinching their spot with a sixth-place finish and boasting one of the most impenetrable defenses in the competition. Only Inter Milan and the Premier League trio of Arsenal, Liverpool, and Aston Villa have conceded fewer goals, making them a nightmare matchup for any opponent.

For Vincent Kompany, this tie carries even greater weight. After suffering defeat to Xabi Alonso’s men in the Pokal earlier this season, the Champions League now stands as his only remaining shot at silverware. The pressure is immense, and Bayern Munich must rise to the occasion if they want to avoid ending the campaign empty-handed.

Memories of German rivalries in Europe still burn bright for Bayern. Their last all-German showdown in the Champions League was the iconic 2013 final, where Arjen Robben’s last-gasp goal at Wembley shattered Borussia Dortmund’s dreams. But Leverkusen isn’t short on history either. They’ve conquered domestic foes in Europe before, eliminating Werder Bremen and Hamburg in the UEFA Cup in 1988 and 2008.

One of Leverkusen’s deadliest weapons this season? Florian Wirtz. The young maestro is lighting up his first Champions League campaign, racking up six goals and an assist in the league phase. He’s now just two contributions away from breaking Michael Ballack’s club record of nine goal involvements in a single European season—a record set when Leverkusen reached the final in 2001-02.

Defensively, Leverkusen is regaining some stability, with Piero Hincapie back from suspension. However, Jeanuel Belocian remains a long-term absentee, and Martin Terrier is the only other injury concern. That hasn’t stopped Alonso from going all-in—he fielded a full-strength squad at the weekend, sending a clear message that his side is coming to the Allianz Arena with no intention of playing it safe.

LEVERKUSEN predicted lineup vs BAYERN MUNICH: Hradecky (GK); Mukiele, Tah, Hincapie; Frimpong, Aleix Garcia, Xhaka, Grimaldo; Tella, Schick, Wirtz.

PREDICTION

Xabi Alonso’s Leverkusen still have a point to prove on the biggest stage. Last season’s Europa League final loss and defeats to Liverpool and Atletico in the league phase highlight their struggles under pressure. Now, they face the ultimate test—Bayern Munich at the Allianz Arena, where the Bavarians are often unstoppable. If Leverkusen want to cement their status among Europe’s elite, this is their moment to rise—or fall.

Prediction: Bayern Munich 1-0 Leverkusen

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